Frozen Assets and Broken Models: What US Traders Get Wrong About Political Risk in Restricted Markets
American traders routinely underestimate how swiftly geopolitical events can lock down capital in sanctioned and restricted markets. From Iran's sanctions reversals to Russia's overnight exchange closures, the costs of political risk rarely appear in standard volatility models. This analysis examines real-world case studies and offers a more rigorous framework for building contingency strategies in high-risk jurisdictions.